likelihood
noun
like·li·hood
ˈlī-klē-ˌhu̇d
: the chance that something will happen : probability
There's very little likelihood of that happening. [=that is very unlikely to happen]
changes that in all likelihood will be made soon [=changes that are very likely to be made soon]
… a strong likelihood that he is correct …—T. D. Anderson
The likelihood of instability might increase because of the economic crisis.—Fareed Zakaria
… could reduce the likelihood of a fire in their convenience store by banning smoking in their building …—Harriet E. Jones et al.
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Merriam-Webster unabridged
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